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Fractals

All markets experience periods where prices remain relatively stable, with only a small percentage of time dedicated to trend changes. The most profitable opportunities often arise when market prices follow a specific trend.

Fractals are one of the five indicators in Bill Williams’ trading system. They help identify market tops and bottoms. An upwards fractal consists of a series of at least five bars, with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on either side. A reversing set, or sell fractal, consists of a series of at least five bars, with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on either side. Fractals are represented by up and down arrows on a chart.

Fractal signals should be filtered using the Alligator indicator. If a buy transaction is open, it should not be closed if the fractal is below the Alligator’s Teeth. Similarly, if a sell transaction is open, it should not be closed if the fractal is above the Alligator’s Teeth.

Once a fractal signal is generated and confirmed by its position beyond the Alligator’s Mouth, it remains a valid signal until it is either challenged or a more recent fractal signal appears.

An up fractal marks a high with two lower highs on each side; a down fractal marks a low with two higher lows on each side.

A fractal is only confirmed after two complete bars have formed on its right side, so on the most recent bars a fractal can still appear or disappear. Use a Shift of 3 or higher if you only want to act on confirmed fractals. On bars without a fractal the indicator has no value.